Lampiran 16.  Proyeksi Arus Kas untuk Analisis Sensitivitas Budidaya Bandeng, Pendapatan Turun  7%

No

Uraian

Tahun 0

Tahun 1

Tahun 2

Tahun 3

Tahun 4

smt 1

smt 2

smt 1

smt 2

smt 1

smt 2

smt 1

smt 2

1

Inflow

                 

a. Pendapatan

0

41.664.000

47.523.000

52.080.000

47.523.000

52.080.000

47.523.000

52.080.000

47.523.000

b. Dana sendiri

12.840.988

               

c. Kredit investasi

5.825.400

               

d. Kredit modal kerja

10.344.388

               

e. Nilai sisa

               

3.072.200

Jumlah

29.010.776

41.664.000

47.523.000

52.080.000

47.523.000

52.080.000

47.523.000

52.080.000

50.595.200

Inflow untuk IRR

0

41.664.000

47.523.000

52.080.000

47.523.000

52.080.000

47.523.000

52.080.000

50.595.200

2

Outflow

                 

a. Biaya investasi

5.322.000

0

0

2.537.000

0

2.752.000

0

2.537.000

0

b. Biaya modal kerja

20.688.776

               

c. Biaya operasional

 

42.962.813

41.450.538

43.992.530

41.450.538

43.992.530

41.450.538

43.992.530

41.450.538

d. Angsuran pokok

 

4.042.447

4.042.447

4.042.447

4.042.447

       

e. Biaya bunga bank

 

1.515.918

1.111.673

707.428

303.184

       

f. Pajak %

 

0

2.714

417.052

123.987

1.129.533

775.832

1.129.533

775.832

Jumlah

26.010.776

48.521.177

46.607.371

51.696.457

45.920.155

47.874.063

42.226.369

47.659.063

42.226.369

Outflow untuk IRR

26.010.776

42.962.813

41.453.251

46.946.582

41.574.525

47.874.063

42.226.369

47.659.063

42.226.369

3

Total cashflow

3.000.000

-6.857.177

915.629

383.543

1.602.845

4.205.937

5.296.631

4.420.937

8.368.831

4

Kumulatif cashflow

3.000.000

-3.857.177

-2.941.548

-2.558.005

-955.161

3.250.776

8.547.407

12.968.344

21.337.175

5

Cashflow untuk IRR

-26.010.776

-1.298.813

6.069.749

5.133.418

5.948.475

4.205.937

5.296.631

4.420.937

8.368.831

DF %

1,0000

0,9129

0,8333

0,7607

0,6944

0,6339

0,5787

0,5283

0,4823

Discounted Cashflow

-26.010.776

-1.185.648

5.058.124

3.905.124

4.130.886

2.666.304

3.065.180

2.335.501

4.035.894

a. Discounted Cashflow positif

0

0

5.058.124

3.905.124

4.130.886

2.666.304

3.065.180

2.335.501

4.035.894

b. Discounted Cashflow negatif

-26.010.776

-1.185.648

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

DF% *)

1,0000

0,9285

0,8621

0,8004

0,7432

0,6900

0,6407

0,5948

0,5523

Discounted Cashflow *)

  (26.010.776)

  (1.205.917)

  5.232.542

      4.108.844

   4.420.686

   2.902.136

   3.393.327

  2.629.731

   4.622.031

DF % **)

1,0000

0,9245

0,8547

0,7902

0,7305

0,6754

0,6244

0,5772

0,5337

Discounted Cashflow **)

  (26.010.776)

  (1.200.753)

  5.187.819

      4.056.279

   4.345.442

   2.840.522

   3.307.060

  2.551.901

   4.466.027

 

NPV DF %

-1.999.413

               
 

Net B/C ratio DF %

0,93

               
 

IRR

16,17%